王兆礼, 钟睿达, 赖成光, 陈晓宏, 李军, 黄泽勤. TRMM卫星降水反演数据在珠江流域的适用性研究——以东江和北江为例[J]. 水科学进展, 2017, 28(2): 174-182. DOI: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.02.002
引用本文: 王兆礼, 钟睿达, 赖成光, 陈晓宏, 李军, 黄泽勤. TRMM卫星降水反演数据在珠江流域的适用性研究——以东江和北江为例[J]. 水科学进展, 2017, 28(2): 174-182. DOI: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.02.002
WANG Zhaoli, ZHONG Ruida, LAI Chengguang, CHEN Xiaohong, LI Jun, HUANG Zeqin. Evaluation of TRMM 3B42-V7 satellite-based precipitation data product in the Pearl River basin, China: Dongjiang River and Beijiang River basin as examples[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2017, 28(2): 174-182. DOI: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.02.002
Citation: WANG Zhaoli, ZHONG Ruida, LAI Chengguang, CHEN Xiaohong, LI Jun, HUANG Zeqin. Evaluation of TRMM 3B42-V7 satellite-based precipitation data product in the Pearl River basin, China: Dongjiang River and Beijiang River basin as examples[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2017, 28(2): 174-182. DOI: 10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.02.002

TRMM卫星降水反演数据在珠江流域的适用性研究——以东江和北江为例

Evaluation of TRMM 3B42-V7 satellite-based precipitation data product in the Pearl River basin, China: Dongjiang River and Beijiang River basin as examples

  • 摘要: 为评估最新一代TRMM 3B42-V7卫星降水反演数据产品在珠江流域的精度和适用性,选取位于珠江流域下游的东江和北江流域为研究区域,基于地面雨量站点数据评估了该产品的精度和适用性,并结合可变下渗容量(Variable Infiltration Capacity,VIC)水文模型进行了水文模拟验证。对比分析结果表明,在网格尺度上,大多数网格日尺度相关系数达到0.60以上,月尺度相关系数达到0.90以上,3B42-V7产品表现出较好的精度,在区域尺度上精度得到了进一步提高;水文模拟验证分两种情景下进行,情景Ⅰ的结果表明,当水文模型由地面雨量站点数据率定时,3B42-V7产品数据的水文模拟效果不佳,个别区间内存在对洪峰流量明显的低估;情景Ⅱ的结果表明,由3B42-V7产品数据重新率定水文模型时径流模拟效果有了较大改善,说明该产品可在一定程度上作为资料缺乏地区的降水数据来源。

     

    Abstract: Accurate and continuous precipitation is vital for water resource management, flood forecasting, and hydrologic process simulation, although traditional gauge-based precipitation data is often insufficient due to the sparse and uneven distributions of stations. Moreover, it's always difficult to improve the precision and performance by interpolation technique. Satellite-based precipitation product solves these deficiencies of gauge-based data and provides an alternative data source for ungauged regions due to its high spatial and temporal resolution. The following research. This study mainly quantitatively evaluates the accuracy and suitability of the latest version (V7) of TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) 3B42 multi-satellite precipitation estimation product in Pearl River basin, China, and to perform a hydrological simulation to further verify the applicability of the data. Dongjiang River basin and Beijiang River basin, located in the downstream area of Pearl River basin, were selected as the study case. Statistical indices of the Dongjiang River basin and the Beijiang River basin, including correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (ERMS), mean error (EM), mean absolute error (EMA), relative error (ER) and Nash Sutcliffe Coefficient Efficiency (ENSC) were utilized to measure the accuracy of 3B42-V7 data. By contrasting the quantitative assessment results of 3B42-V7 data and gauge precipitation data derived from 90 rainfall stations during 1998-2006, the R values (correlation coefficients) of majority of the grid cells were greater than 0.60 on a daily scale and greater than 0.90 on a monthly scale, suggesting that the 3B42-V7 data presents high accuracy in the studied area. Moreover, EM (at two time scale) and ER are higher than 0 in most grid cells, which imply that a systematic overestimation of the precipitation in the studied area exist in the 3B42-V7 data. In the moderate heavy rainfall class, the results of intensity distribution of 3B42-V7 data were similar to that of gauge data, while 3B42-V7 data underestimated the small rainfall class while overestimating the heavy rainfall class, indicating that the 3B42-V7 data had relative low accuracy in detection of extreme precipitation events. Spatial distribution of the statistical indices of 3B42-V7 data implies that the accuracy of satellite-based precipitation data is typically affected by altitude. VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity) model, a large-scale distribution hydrological model, was applied to hydrological simulation in this case. Two scenarios are set in this study: scenario I, 3B42-V7 data were applied to the model calibrated with gauge data while they showed a relatively unsatisfactory performance during the hydrological simulation; scenario Ⅱ, 3B42-V7 data performed preferably with the model recalibrated by the 3B42-V7 data, suggesting that calibrating the model with 3B42-V7 data rather than gauge data before the hydrological simulation would be ideal. The results of the hydrological simulation validation implied that, to some extent, the 3B42-V7 products can be used as the data source in the ungauged regions.

     

/

返回文章
返回