黄河内蒙古段封冻期非漫滩与漫滩槽蓄水增量变化

Variation of the channel storage increment under non-overbank and overbank conditions during the freeze-up period in the Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River

  • 摘要: 现有对高寒地区河流凌汛封冻期槽蓄水增量研究,少有涉及非漫滩与漫滩分异问题。根据河流水文系统自动调整与滞后响应理论,基于Muskingum法,考虑封冻期槽蓄水相态(液态、冰态)转化,推导建立封冻期槽蓄水增量(包括液水与固冰)滞后响应模型;分别统计分析非漫滩与漫滩情景下模型参数的不同影响因子与变化规律,揭示槽蓄水增量变化的分异机制。以黄河内蒙古段为例,通过参数率定并应用模拟封冻期槽蓄水增量变化过程,结果表明:模拟值与实测值变化趋势符合良好,确定性系数与Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数分别为0.95、0.96;液态蓄量系数主要与初始槽蓄水量与平滩流量比值正相关,反映了漫滩阻力增大影响;固冰体积综合系数在非漫滩情景下主要与液态蓄量系数负相关,反映出主槽流速减小、冰花堆积厚度减小影响,而在漫滩情景下可分解为河冰面积与冰厚综合增长系数,前者主要与封冻期流量与平滩流量比值正相关,反映了漫滩程度增大影响,后者主要与平滩流量正相关,反映出主流区流速增大、冰花堆积厚度增大影响。对于黄河内蒙古段主槽萎缩、平滩流量减小,封冻期水流相对更易漫滩,液态蓄量系数增大与河冰面积增大均有利于增大固冰体积,而冰厚综合增长系数减小有利于减小固冰体积,三者变化规律不同、共同作用,使得槽蓄水增量呈现出复杂变化。

     

    Abstract: Existing studies on the channel storage increment during freeze-up periods in cold-region rivers have rarely addressed its differentiation under non-overbank and overbank conditions. Based on the self-regulation and delayed-response theory of river systems, and employing the Muskingum method while considering the phase transitions (liquid to ice) of channel storage, a delayed-response model for the channel storage increment (including liquid water and ice volume) during the freeze-up period is developed in this study. By statistically analyzing the different influencing factors and variation patterns of model parameters under non-overbank and overbank conditions, the differentiation mechanism of the channel storage increment is revealed. Taking the Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River as a case study, through the model parameters calibration, the variation process of the channel storage increment during the freeze-up period is simulated. The simulation results are found to be in good agreement with the measured data, with the coefficient of determination and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient reaching 0.99 and 0.96, respectively. The analysis of model parameter variations reveals a significant positive correlation between the liquid water storage coefficient and the ratio of initial channel storage to bank-full discharge, reflecting the effect of increased flow resistance under overbank conditions. Under non-overbank conditions, the comprehensive ice volume coefficient exhibits a negative correlation with the liquid water storage coefficient, reflecting the effects of reduced main channel velocity and decreased frazil ice accumulation thickness. Under overbank conditions, the comprehensive ice volume coefficient can be decomposed into a river ice area growth coefficient and an ice thickness growth coefficient. The former shows a positive correlation with the ratio of average discharge during freeze-up to bank-full discharge, indicating the effect of the increased overbank extent, while the latter is positively correlated with bank-full discharge, reflecting enhanced main flow velocity and increased frazil ice accumulation thickness. In the Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River, channel shrinkage and reduced bank-full discharge increase the likelihood of overbank flow during the freeze-up period. An increase in the liquid water storage coefficient contributes to greater liquid channel storage, while an expansion of the river ice area promotes an increase in ice volume. In contrast, a decrease in the ice thickness growth coefficient tends to reduce ice volume. The differing variation patterns and combined effects of these three factors result in complex changes to the channel storage increment.

     

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