基于REW模型的半湿润半干旱地区水文模拟与产流机制分析

Hydrological simulation and runoff generation mechanisms in semi-humid and semi-arid bains using the REW model

  • 摘要: 为深入理解半湿润-半干旱过渡区产流机制差异,提升洪水预报精度,本研究基于物理机制代表性单元流域(REW)模型选取阳泉(半湿润)和岔巴沟(半干旱)流域开展洪水模拟,通过分析模型直接输出的饱和与非饱和产流组分动态,定量识别产流模式及其主导因素。结果表明:①阳泉流域模拟精度较高(纳什效率系数(ENS)均为0.73),产流模式为饱和与非饱和机制并存的“混合产流”及以非饱和产流为主的“单一产流”;②岔巴沟流域模拟精度偏低(ENS分别为0.68和0.51),产流高度依赖雨强,表现为非饱和主导的“单一产流”;③半湿润区产流受土壤湿度与降雨共同调控,机制动态转换;半干旱区则主要由雨强控制,机制单一稳定。研究表明,REW模型能够有效表征不同流域产流过程及其动态转换,适用于不同产流机制流域,可为深入理解半湿润—半干旱过渡区洪水形成机理及物理机制水文模型的精细化应用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Accurate prediction of floods in semi-humid and semi-arid basins relies on a precise representation of runoff generation mechanisms. This study applies the physically based Representative Elementary Watershed (REW) model to simulate flood processes in the Yangquan (semi-humid) and Chabagou (semi-arid) basins. By analyzing the dynamics of saturation-excess and infiltration-excess runoff components directly derived from the model, we quantitatively identify the runoff generation patterns and their dominant controlling factors. Results show: ① The Yangquan Basin achieves higher simulation accuracy (ENS = 0.73 for both calibration and validation periods), with runoff generation varying between mixed saturation–infiltration mechanisms and infiltration-dominated single mechanisms. ② The Chabagou Basin exhibits lower accuracy (ENS = 0.68 and 0.51), where runoff is consistently dominated by infiltration-excess mechanisms controlled by rainfall intensity. ③ The runoff mechanism is more diverse and dynamically modulated by both soil moisture and rainfall in semi-humid regions, whereas it is singular and intensity-driven in semi-arid regions. The REW model effectively captures these processes, supporting improved flood forecasting across different hydroclimatic settings.

     

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