感潮河网水动力调控智能决策方法

Research on intelligent decision-making method for hydrodynamic regulation of tidal river networks

  • 摘要: 感潮河网水闸群联合调度是提升河网水动力和减少水流往复、活水提质的重要措施。但目前水闸调度以经验为主,低效费时,少数智能方法只能做确定性工况的调度决策,无法应对水文、潮汐以及闸门扰动下河网水动力过程实时动态调控。本文提出一种感潮河网水动力调控智能决策方法,利用长短期记忆网络和时间融合变压器精准捕捉水位和流量变化的长期依赖和非平稳动态特征,识别河网多重因素干扰,建立水位—流量非线性响应关系,实现精准预测;基于闸内外水位差,以目标断面净过水量最大为优化目标,建立基于遗传算法的闸门群水力调控优化模型,实现搜索目标最优下的闸门群联调方案。应用于上海蕴南片河网的水动力调控,结果表明该方法能够动态响应水文潮汐边界的变化,智能调控水闸群重构河网水动力格局,在设定的2种工况下12h净过水率分别提升12.8%和5.4%,往复流流量分别降低74.2%和55.3%,显著改善了目标河段的水流往复,增强定向流动。

     

    Abstract: Coordinated operation of sluice gates in tidal river networks is a crucial measure to enhance hydrodynamic performance, reduce oscillatory flows, and improve water quality. However, current sluice operations primarily rely on empirical approaches, which tend to be inefficient and time-consuming when deciding on the optimal operation strategy. Existing intelligent approaches are mostly restricted to deterministic scenarios and lack the capability for flexible regulation of hydrodynamic processes under the combined influences of hydrology, tides, and gate-induced disturbances. In this study, a real-time decision-making optimization method is proposed for operational strategies in hydrodynamic regulation through sluice operations. Incorporating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFT), the method accurately captures long-term dependencies and non-stationary dynamic characteristics of water level and discharge variations, identify multi-source disturbances, and establishes nonlinear coupling relationships governing water level and discharge responses to enable precise forecasting. Additionally, a Genetic Algorithm (GA)-based optimization model for sluice gate group regulation is developed to maximize the predicted net water volume through a target cross-section by searching for the optimal gate operation scheme based on the water level difference between the upstream and downstream sides of the gates. The integrated model is applied to the hydrodynamic regulation of the Wennan watershed river network in Shanghai and performs well in dynamically responding to variations in hydrological and tidal boundaries. It intelligently provides a sluice gate group control scheme for the hydrodynamic reconstruction of the river network. Under two representative scenarios, the 12-hour net water exchange increased by 12.8% and 5.4%, while oscillatory flows were reduced by 74.2% and 55.3%, respectively, thereby significantly reduces oscillatory flow in the target reach, and enhances directional flow.

     

/

返回文章
返回