南水北调东中线工程水力调度大模型框架

Framework for a large-scale hydraulic dispatching model for the South-to-North Water Diversion Project

  • 摘要: 南水北调东中线工程具有沿线闸泵设施多、水力调度节点密集、实时调度耦合性强、数据量大多源、场景多样的特点,国家水网建设和人工智能发展背景下,亟待研发水力调度大模型进行数字赋能。本文针对水力调度系统多源数据整合、专业知识适配及动态决策支持等技术难题,按照数据基座-模型开发-场景适配的结构,构建了基于多模态耦合与检索增强生成(Retrieval-Augmented Generation,RAG)的南水北调东中线工程水力调度大模型框架。框架包括3项关键技术:L0多模态数据基座实现数据深度融合与高效访问、数据-模型双驱动预测的L1-L2模型-RAG技术融合转化、考虑多场景适配的L3全景数字孪生平台。框架可实现多模态数据融合、多场景适配和决策调度方案生成。本框架分别应用于考虑沿线水位约束的南水北调中线工程总干渠水力调度、考虑输水建筑物水位波动的南水北调中线工程总干渠水力调度、考虑流量需求和水质约束的南水北调东线工程水网水力调度三大典型场景。场景应用结果表明:该框架各模块协同作用显著,较常规L1、L2水力调度模型,RAG赋能的水力调度模型的可解释性与实时响应能力进一步提升,水动力、水质的综合调度准确率达0.845(较常规开源RAG系统提升0.098)。该研究可应用于大型调水工程的水力调度,为工程数字化智能化高质量发展提供可行技术路径。

     

    Abstract: Against the backdrop of the ongoing development of the national water network and advances in artificial intelligence, there is an urgent need for large-scale hydraulic dispatching models to support digital empowerment. This need arises from the complexity of water diversion systems, which feature numerous sluice-pump facilities, densely distributed hydraulic dispatching nodes, strong coupling among real-time dispatching operations, massive data volumes, and diverse operational scenarios. To address technical challenges such as multi-source data integration, domain knowledge adaptation, and dynamic decision-making support, this study develops a framework for a large-scale hydraulic dispatching model for the Eastern and Middle Routes of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP). Based on multimodal coupling and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), the framework follows a structure of data foundation, model development, and scenario adaptation. It comprises three key technologies: an L0 multimodal data foundation for deep data fusion and efficient access; an L1-L2 model-RAG integration mechanism driven jointly by data and models; and an L3 panoramic digital twin platform for multi-scenario adaptation. Together, these technologies enable multimodal data fusion, scenario adaptation, and scheduling scheme generation. The framework was applied to three representative scenarios: hydraulic dispatching for the main canal of the Middle Route of the SNWDP under along-channel water-level constraints; hydraulic dispatching for the main canal of the Middle Route considering water-level fluctuations of conveyance structures; and water grid hydraulic dispatching for the Eastern Route considering flow demand and water quality constraints. The results indicate synergistic effects among the framework modules. Compared with conventional L1 and L2 models, the RAG-enabled hydraulic dispatching model improves interpretability and real-time responsiveness. Its comprehensive dispatching accuracy for hydrodynamics and water quality reaches 0.845, which is 0.098 higher than that of conventional open-source RAG systems. This framework is applicable to large-scale water diversion projects and provides a feasible technical pathway for their high-quality digital and intelligent development.

     

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