元流域:江河治理保护研究新范式

Meta-watershed: a new research paradigm for river governance and protection

  • 摘要: 为破解国家江河战略实施中跨部门协同管理难、社会多元主体参与难、复杂系统风险预见难等治理问题,亟需构建贯通物理流域和人文社会的新型范式。融合元宇宙、人工智能与流域科学等理论技术,提出了元流域理论框架和技术体系。阐释了元流域的定义、内涵和特征,构建了以高保真数字孪生流域为数字基座,融合虚拟社会、沉浸交互、共生智慧中枢要素的“六基三元”基本模型,解析了其运行机理和核心能力,提出了其关键技术攻关方向。元流域将流域治理主体从“人通过工具治理流域”跃迁为“人与智能体共同治理流域”,形成物理流域与虚拟社会平行互动、双向闭环的协同治理机制,赋能江河安全保障、资源配置、生态保护等核心任务治理范式的演进。元流域以其全新理念和技术革新,推动流域治理正从“数据驱动”的第四范式迈向“智能驱动”的“第五范式”,为国家江河治理体系与治理能力现代化、实现人水和谐共生提供了理论框架和实践蓝图。

     

    Abstract: To address governance challenges in the implementation of China’s national river strategy, namely, difficulties in cross- sectoral coordination, limited multi-stakeholder participation, and inability to foresee complex system risks, a novel paradigm that bridges the physical watershed and human-social domain is urgently needed. By integrating theories and technologies such as the metaverse, artificial intelligence, and watershed sciences, this paper proposes the theoretical framework and technical system of the Meta-Watershed. The definition, connotation, and characteristics are elucidated. A "Six Bases and Three Elements" basic model is constructed, featuring a high-fidelity digital twin watershed as the digital foundation, integrating with virtual society, immersive interaction, and symbiotic intelligence hub. The operational mechanisms and core capabilities of the model are analyzed, and the directions for key technological breakthroughs are identified. The Meta-Watershed upgrades governance from "humans governing watersheds through tools" to "humans and intelligent agents co-governing watershed," establishing a parallel and interactive, bidirectional closed-loop collaborative governance mechanism between the physical watershed and the virtual society. This evolution drives core governance tasks—including water security, water resource allocation, and ecological protection—toward a new governance paradigm. With its novel concepts and technological innovations, the Meta-Watershed propels watershed governance from the data-driven fourth paradigm toward the intelligence-driven fifth paradigm, providing a theoretical framework and practical blueprint for modernizing China’s river governance system and capacity, ultimately achieving harmonious coexistence between human and water.

     

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