基于复杂网络的黄河上游水-能-粮-生系统

Study on the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem system in the Upper Yellow River based on complex network analysis

  • 摘要: 黄河上游是黄河流域重要的水源涵养区和生态屏障,水-能-粮-生(WEFE)系统的结构差异与关键节点的作用机制直接影响区域资源的调配效率及流域生态保护与高质量发展。然而,现有WEFE系统研究多侧重整体性评价,难以揭示系统内部结构差异及关键节点作用机制。本文融合复杂网络理论与Copula函数,构建联合中心性识别关键节点,并结合介数中心性刻画节点功能角色差异,从系统结构视角定量分析了黄河上游WEFE系统的关联格局。结果表明:黄河上游WEFE系统呈现显著空间差异,当相关阈值为0.6时网络模块化指数达到0.274,系统结构稳定性较高;能源子系统内部关联强度最高(0.81),粮食与生态系统耦合程度较高(0.55),而能源与粮食系统相关性最低(0.25)系统协调性不足;网络结构识别出水-能模块与粮-生模块两类主要功能分区,水-能模块关键节点具有较高联合中心性但介数中心性较低,在局部资源调节中发挥核心作用;粮-生模块关键节点同时具有较高联合中心性与介数中心性,在跨系统资源流动中承担重要桥梁功能。本研究为黄河上游多资源系统协同治理与流域高质量发展提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The upper reaches of the Yellow River serve as a crucial water conservation area and ecological barrier for the basin. The structural differences in the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem (WEFE) system and the mechanisms of key nodes directly influence the efficiency of regional resource allocation, as well as ecological protection and high-quality development in the basin. However, existing WEFE system studies predominantly focus on holistic evaluations, making it difficult to reveal internal structural differences and the mechanisms of key nodes. This study integrates complex network theory and Copula functions to identify key nodes through joint centrality, combined with betweenness centrality to characterize functional role differences among nodes. It quantitatively analyzes the interconnected patterns of the WEFE system in the upper Yellow River from a structural perspective. The results show that the WEFE system in the upper Yellow River exhibits significant spatial disparities. At a correlation threshold of 0.6, the network modularity index reaches 0.274, indicating high structural stability. The energy subsystem demonstrates the strongest internal connectivity (0.81), while food and ecosystem subsystems show relatively high coupling (0.55). In contrast, the correlation between energy and food systems is the weakest (0.25), reflecting insufficient coordination. The network structure identifies two major functional zones: the water-energy module and the food-ecosystem module. Key nodes in the water-energy module exhibit high joint centrality but low betweenness centrality, playing a core role in local resource regulation. Key nodes in the food-ecosystem module possess both high joint centrality and betweenness centrality, serving as critical bridges for cross-system resource flows. This study provides a scientific basis for the coordinated governance of multi-resource systems and high-quality development in the upper Yellow River Basin.

     

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