水利水电枢纽溃坝风险知识图谱与量子拓扑融合分析

Integrated knowledge graph construction and quantum topological risk assessment for hydropower hub breach pathways

  • 摘要: 针对溃坝诱发因子多样、传递路径复杂、损失量化困难等问题。本研究提出构建融合知识图谱与量子拓扑分析的溃坝风险评估框架。基于Scrapy爬虫与文献分析获取多源数据,设计正则表达式集提取溃坝风险传递路径,划分为气象、地质、工程与管理因素、生物四大类;采用破坏势能与频率因子进行量子编码,得到适用于溃坝风险评估的4类拓扑构型;引入可信度评估,验证量子拓扑分析方法的合理性。结果表明:知识图谱共提取70条典型路径;量子拓扑分析得到的拓扑脆弱性指数,工程与管理因素类最高,气象类与地质类次之,生物类最低;路径可信度与节点连接度具有一致性,拓扑脆弱性大小与各类风险的实际致灾机理相符。本研究提出的“图谱-拓扑”技术范式实现了溃坝风险传递路径的结构化整合与量化,为溃坝风险传递路径的分析提供了新思路。

     

    Abstract: This study aimed to address challenges associated with diverse dam failure triggers, complex transmission pathways, and difficulties in quantifying associated losses. By leveraging Scrapy-based web crawlers and literature analysis to collect multisource data, we developed regular expression sets to extract transmission pathways, which were categorized into four major types: meteorological, geological, engineering/management, and biological. Quantum encoding, incorporating failure potential energy and frequency factors, yielded four topological configurations applicable to risk assessment. A credibility evaluation mechanism was introduced to validate the robustness and reliability of the quantum topology analysis. The results demonstrate that the knowledge graph extracted 70 typical pathways, whereas quantum topology analysis revealed that engineering/management factors exhibited the highest topological vulnerability index, followed by meteorological and geological factors, with biological factors showing the lowest values. Path credibility aligns with node connectivity patterns, and topological vulnerability levels correspond to actual disaster mechanisms across different risk categories. The proposed “graph-topology” technical paradigm enables the structured integration and quantification of dam failure risk transmission pathways, thereby providing a novel analytical framework for risk pathway evaluation.

     

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