近50年来中国六大流域径流年内分配变化趋势

Variation trends of runoffs seasonal distribution of the six larger basins in China over the past 50 years

  • 摘要: 基于1950年以来的全国六大流域19个重点控制水文站实测月径流量观测资料,以1980年为界,分析各站实测径流量年内分配不均匀系数、集中度以及集中期的变化;采用Mann-Kendall非参数统计检验方法,诊断了各月径流量的变化趋势。结果表明,自1980年以来,全国六大流域的月径流发生了时空变化,除海河的石匣里、响水堡站和黄河花园口站年内径流不均匀性和相对集中度较小以外,其它站的年内径流不均匀性和相对集中度较大,以松辽流域为最大;此外,南方流域各站冬春季(12~3月)的径流均呈现增加的趋势,5月份呈现减少的趋势,7月份呈现增加的趋势;北方流域各站冬春季(1~5月)径流呈现减少的趋势,以海河流域各站、松辽的铁岭、黄河利津站和淮河的吴家渡站减少趋势最为严重。

     

    Abstract: Based on the observed monthly streamflow of 19 key hydrological control stations in the six larger basins in China since 1950,the uneven coefficient of seasonal distribution,concentration rate,concentration period and variation range are analyzed,and the Mann-Kendall test method is employed to detect trends of inner-annual runoff.Results indicate that since 1980s,the observed monthly streamflow in the six larger basins has generally changed,except of Shixiali station,Xiangshuipu station in Hai river basin and Huayuankou station in Yellow River basin.For other stations,the uneven coefficient of inner-annual distribution and relative concentration rate are larger,particularly in Songliao river basin.Moreover,the monthly runoff in winter and spring (from December to March) in southern basin increases and decreases in May and increases in July while in winter and spring (from January to May) in northern basin it decreases evidently in Hai river basin,Tieling station in Liao river basin,Lijin station in Yellow River basin and Wujiadu station in Huai river basin.

     

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