黄河下游同流量下洪水位时空演变特点与机制

Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and mechanisms of flood level at identical discharges in the Lower Yellow River

  • 摘要: 近年来在河床持续冲刷条件下,黄河下游河道水位—流量关系发生了显著变化。本文基于黄河下游6个水文站1986—2023年水沙与地形数据,分析黄河下游洪水位变化特点与原因,量化解析1986—2020年间河道形态调整与河道阻力调整对同流量下洪水位变幅的影响。结果表明:①小浪底水库运行前(1986—1999年),黄河下游洪水位呈波动抬升趋势,4000 m3/s流量对应的洪水位抬升1.43~1.78 m;水库运行后黄河下游同流量下洪水位呈波动降低趋势,1999—2023年4000 m3/s流量对应的洪水位下降1.51~3.40 m。②洪水位降幅与河段冲刷量呈正相关,游荡段、过渡段、弯曲段的河床平均冲刷1亿m3,河段内水文站洪水位相应下降0.17~0.85 m。③通过数值试验量化了1986年和2020年间不同因素对4000 m3/s流量下洪水位变幅的贡献,河道阻力增加引起洪水位抬升0.45~0.91 m,河道形态变化引起洪水位下降0.59~1.58 m。在孙口站以下河段,2种影响因素引起的洪水位变幅互相抵消,实际洪水位基本不变;孙口站以上河道阻力增加引起的洪水位抬升小于河床下切引起的洪水位下降,但抵消了24.3%的洪水位降幅。

     

    Abstract: Driven by continuous channel degradation, the water level-discharge relationship has undergone significant changes in the Lower Yellow River (LYR). Based on the hydrological and topographic data from six hydrometric stations in the LYR from 1986 to 2023, this study investigated the characteristics and mechanisms of flood-level changes in the LYR, and quantified the effects of channel morphological adjustment and channel resistance variation on flood levels at a given discharge. Results show that: ①Before the operation of the Xiaolangdi (XLD) Reservoir (1986—1999), flood levels at all six stations showed an overall upward trend, with the values at a discharge of 4000 m3/s increasing by 1.43—1.80 m. After the XLD Reservoir operation (1999—2023), flood levels at 4000 m3/s decreased by 1.51—3.40 m; ②The decline in flood levels at identical discharges was positively correlated with channel scour volumes. For each 100 million m of scour in the braided, transitional and meandering reaches, flood levels at 4000 m3/s dropped by 0.17—0.85 m at the corresponding stations;③Numerical experiments were used to quantify the contributions of different factors on flood levels at 4000 m3/s between 1986 and 2020. It revealed that increased channel resistance raised flood levels of 0.45—0.91 m, whereas channel morphological changes lowered them by 0.59—1.58 m. Downstream of the Sunkou Station, these two effects largely offset each other, resulting in little net change. While in the upstream reach, the flood-level rise attributable to increased channel resistance was less pronounced than the decline caused by riverbed incision, but it still counteracted 24.3% of the total flood-level decrease.

     

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