病险水库理论分析研究进展

Research advances in risk assessment and enforcement of unsafe reservoirs

  • 摘要: 中国病险水库数量庞大,目前国内正有计划分步开展水库除险加固工作,除险加固的理论方法研究已成为当前研究的重要课题。在总结相关研究成果的基础上,将病险水库除险加固的研究分为理论分析方法和加固技术措施两方面,进而从风险分析与安全评价、结构分析方法以及除险加固效果量化研究三方面阐述了当前研究进展与不足。同时指出,考虑中国病险坝特点和机理的风险分析与安全评价、结构正反分析方法及除险加固效果的量化评价研究是未来病险水库除险加固理论分析研究的重点。

     

    Abstract: A large number of reservoirs in China face potential risks in their current status. Risk assessment and reinforcement of these reservoirs have been carried out nationwide step by step. Searching for theoretical approaches to reinforce the risk reservoirs has become an important subject at present. On the basis of reviewing existing literature, the current research on the risk reservoir reinforcement can be categorized into two aspects: the theoretical analysis approach and the reinforcement measures. Research advances in the former include the risk assessment, the safety evaluation, structural analysis methods, and the quantitative study of reservoir reinforcement. Considering the special status of risk reservoirs in China, future research should focus on the risk assessment, the safety evaluation, structural analysis methods, and the quantitative study of reinforcement measures for high risk reservoirs.

     

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