黄淮海流域旱涝时空分布及组合特性

Study of spatial and temporal distribution and multiple characteristics of drought and flood in Huang-Huai-Hai River basin

  • 摘要: 以黄淮海流域及其周边地区204个气象站点1961-2010年逐日降水过程资料、国家1:25万DEM数据和1:20万土地利用数据为基础,在利用降水Z指数对黄淮海流域旱涝进行评价的基础上,采用下垫面数据对结果进行修正,并分析黄淮海流域旱涝面积的时间变化特征,对黄淮海地区的易旱区、易涝区进行了划分,进一步选取集对分析法划分了流域内季节间旱涝交替的易发区。结果表明:黄淮海流域内夏秋两季旱涝问题较为严重,且秋旱面积上升趋势较为明显;黄河和海河流域以干旱居多,淮河则是干旱和雨涝并存,季节间的旱涝交替多集中在淮河流域中上游地区。

     

    Abstract: The Huang-Huai-Hai River basin is one of the important agro-ecological zones and major grain producing areas in China. The spatial distribution and temporal variations of drought and flood affected areas are analyzed using the daily precipitation time series for 1961-2010, the national 1:250 000-scale digital elevation model (DEM) model, and a 1:200 000-scale land use dataset. Precipitation data is collected from 204 meteorological stations distributed in the Huang-Huai-Hai River basin and its surrounding areas. The data is used to calculate the China-Z Index for measuring drought severity. The calculated China-Z Index is further corrected using an underlying surface correction procedure and is analyzed using the Set Pair Analysis (SPA) meteorological diagnostics routines. Maps of drought and flood prone areas are obtained and the regions with alternating dry-wet conditions are identified. The result shows that drought and flood are most likely to occur during summer and autumn seasons. There is a clear upward trend in the drought affected areas in autumn. Both Yellow River basin and Haihe River basin are prone to drought, while the Huaihe River basin often experiences both drought and flood disasters. The regions with alternating dry-wet conditions are gathered around the middle and upper reaches of Huaihe River.

     

/

返回文章
返回