自回归总径流线性响应模型在洪水预报中的应用

ATLR Model and its Application in Flood Prediction

摘要: 采用自回归总径流线性响应(ATLR)模型建立淮河王家坝站洪水预报方案和海河流域南运河水系洪水预报调度方案.自回归TLR模型与TLR模型加误差自回归实时校正模型的结构相同,但前者计算简捷,预报精度也有所提高.
- 自回归 /
- 总径流线性响应模型 /
- 洪水预报
Abstract: This paper presents an autoregression total linear response modet (ATLIZ) by which the forecast schemes were developed for the Wangjiaba station and the South Canal River system in the Haihe River basin. The proposed model has the same construction as that of the combined model consisting of TLR and error autoregressive real time updating. But,the former is simpler and more accurate than the latter.
- autoregression /
- total linear response model /
- flood forecast

[1]	文康等,总径流线性响应模型和线性扰动模型,水利学报,1986, (6):1-9