京津唐地区水资源大系统供水规划和调度优化的递阶模型
Hierarchical Model of Optimal Planning and Operation for Water Supply in JJT Area Water Resources Large-Scale System
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摘要: 应用大系统递阶分析的原理和方法,针对京津唐地区水资源大系统供水规划和调度问题,建立了京津唐地区水资源大系统供水规划和调度优化三级递阶模型和三层递阶模拟模型.提出模拟技术和优化方法相结合的求解方法,并应用该模型对2000、2020水平年近40个组合方案进行运算,对其中较好的20个方案运用所建立的京津唐水资源规划决策支持系统进行多目标综合评价和按优排序,并提出了具体建议.Abstract: The principle and methods of hierarchical analysis for large-scale system are applied to solve the practical problems of optimal planning and operation for water supply in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan (JJT) area water resources system. A three-level hierarchical model for water resources planning and three-level hierarchical simulation model have been established. Simulation technique combined with optimization methods is presented. On the basis of simulation for 40 alternatives, among them 20 best alternatives are comprehensively assessed and are arranged in the order of priority by means of a developed JJT water resources decision support system and specific proposals are presented.