汾河防洪专家系统的设计与应用

Design and Application of the Flood Control Expert System to Fenhe River

  • 摘要: 汾河中游防洪决策支持系统是以管理科学、运筹学、控制论和行为科学为基础,以计算机、仿真技术和信息技术为手段,是辅助管理决策人员在防洪决策活动中,具有智能作用的人一机网络系统。系统由图文信息系统、历史暴雨洪水、雨情水情测报、洪水预报调度、人工演绎系统、智能辅助系统、数据管理系统、操作使用说明等8个部分组成。汾河防洪专家系统是该系统的智能分析部分。本文着重阐述了汾河防洪专家系统的设计思想和实现途径、建立防洪专家知识库的步骤和技巧,以及系统的运行和扩展。

     

    Abstract: The flood control decision support system for the midstream of Fenhe River (FCDSSMFR) is a artificial intelligence interaction network between user and computer,which is based on the theories of management science,operations research,control theory and social science,solves problems in terms of computer simulation and information techniques and has assisting functions to the flood control decision makers. FCDSSMFR consists of the following eight sub-systems:Graphical information sub-system,historical storm flood simulation sub-system, storm water forecasting sub-system,real time flood forecasting and regulating sub-system,artificial storm water simulation sub-system,artificial intelligence sub-system,database management sub-system and sensitive help. The flood control expert system for the midstream of Fenhe (FESOF) is the artificial intelligence (AI) analysis part of FCDSSMFR,which is the first practical model of expert system for flood control field in China. This paper discusses the main ideas of the designing of FESOF's system softwares and building of flood control expert knowledge bases, and describes FESOF's execution and expansion.

     

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