长江中游洞庭湖防洪系统水流模拟——Ⅱ.模型实现和率定检验

Flow Modelling of the Middle Yangtze River-Dongting Lake Flood Control System——Ⅱ Model Building, Calibration and Verification

  • 摘要: 在长江中游洞庭湖防洪系统水流模拟模型的建模思路和基本算法的基础上,侧重讨论建模过程中遇到的内、外边界条件的特殊处理、洪水实时预报校正模型的应用、资料处理和模型数据的拟定等重要环节,强调了有关处理及其与模型基本算法的磨合在复杂水流模型中的重要作用.采用80年代两场实测洪水对所建模型进行了率定和检验.结果表明,所建模型清晰地重现了长江中游--洞庭湖区的洪水动态演进过程,得到了总体趋势合理的水位分布和流速或流量分布;模拟的控制站水位、流量过程与实况比较,峰谷完全对应,过程吻合良好,精度满足防洪预报和分析的要求,能够较好地模拟洪水波在这样复杂水系中的水流特征.

     

    Abstract: Based on the modelling procedures and basic algorithms for the middle Yangtze River-Dongting Lake flood routing model, this paper discusses some essential problems arisen in the process of model building, including special treatments of inner-and outer-boundary conditions, applications of real-time flood forecast-corrector models, data manipulation, and determination of model parameters. Special attention was paid to matching these arts with basic algorithms. The observed data of two flood events were used for model calibration and verification respectively. The results showed that dynamic processes of flood routing were clearly rebuilt, and appropriate general patterns of water levels and flow velocities or discharges were obtained, illustrating the merits of this model.

     

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