河西内陆河流域冰川融水近期变化
Recent changes of glacier runoff in the Hexi Inland river basin
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摘要: 基于第一次中国冰川编目数据库,以国家气象台站的月降水与月气温资料为驱动数据,利用度日模型重建了河西内陆河流域各水系1961~2006年冰川物质平衡和融水径流序列,并与短期观测资料的对比验证表明,模型具有较高的可信度。河西内陆河流域1961~2006年平均冰川物质平衡为-49.5 mm/a,从东段石羊河流域到西段疏勒河、党河流域,物质平衡由强烈的负平衡向微弱的负平衡状态过渡。整个河西内陆河流域1961~2006年平均冰川融水径流量为10.2亿m3,冰川融水补给比重为14.1%。各流域冰川融水补给比重差异较大,西段的疏勒河、党河融水补给比重超过30%;北大河流域为22.9%;黑河流域各支流的融水补给比重在5%~15%之间;东段的石羊河流域融水补给率不到10%。46年冰川融水径流与其补给率均呈显著的增加趋势。Abstract: Using monthly precipitation and temperature data from national meteorological stations and a digital vector map of modern glaciers from the Chinese Glacier Inventory,the glacier mass balance and glacier runoff in 1961-2006,in the Hexi Inland River Basin (HIRB),China,are estimated based on a monthly degreeday model and compared with the observed data.The results suggest that the modified monthly degreeday model can simulate the longterm changes in glacier mass balance and glacier runoff.It was found that the mean annual glacier mass balance during 1961-2006 was -49.5 mm per year.In the west of HIRB,the glacier exhibited slight negative mass balance; while glaciers in the east experienced serious mass loss.The average annual glacier runoff was 1.02 billion m 3 in 1961-2006.Over the entire basin,glacier runoff accounts for 14.1% of the total river flow.The prominent glacier runoff occurred in the Shule River and Danghe River,which accounts for 31.5% and 41.7% of the river flow,respectively.The results also show that glacier runoff accounts for 22.9% and 5%-15% of the river flow in Beida River and Heihe River,respectively and Shiyang River was less than 10%.Glacier runoff and its influence on river flow have increased in the last 46 years over HIRB.