水文学方法的演进与诠释

Evolution of methodology in hydrology and its explanation

  • 摘要: 基于水文学的定义和内涵,应用描述性-解释性-人本性的思想方法,从问题、学科、方法3个维度入手,总结出水文科学发展演进的3条主线,剖析了各条主线不同阶段之间的辨证关系,并认为:体现上述3个维度的3条主线相互交叉,在研究对象、科学认知、方法手段和技术平台层面会形成水文学科新的生长点.针对地球水圈系统复杂多变的态势,加之水文学理论的发展曾受到方法的分割和不同方法之间互不交流的妨碍,诠释了水文学中的经验性方法与理论性公式之间的关系,并着重解读了确定性方法与随机性途径之间对立统一的相容性,最后阐述了背景环境变化和不确定性干扰情形下采取各种不同思维方式的"组合"来研究水文循环路径/过程"组合"的重要性.

     

    Abstract: According to the descriptive-explanatory-humanistic ideological system,the three main routes of evolution course in hydrological sciences were summarized from the following three dimensions:problems,disciplines,and methodologies.It can be seen from the dialectical analysis amongst different stages along the routes that the intersection of the main routes will generate the new frontier directions in objects of study,scientific recognition,and technical innovation for the field of hydrology.This paper also discussed and remarked the relationship between empirical method and theoretical formula,the compatibility between deterministic and stochastic approaches,in view of hydrosphere complexity around the Earth.Finally the authors emphasized the significance of the research on water cycle routes/processes organization by means of the organization of various sorts of logical thinking modes,because of hydrological variability,system diversity,changing environments,and more uncertainty in the real world.

     

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