郑世宗, 袁宏源, 李远华, 郭宗楼, 崔远来, 纪珠宝, 李记马. 霍泉灌区出流量预测模型[J]. 水科学进展, 1999, 10(4): 382-387.
引用本文: 郑世宗, 袁宏源, 李远华, 郭宗楼, 崔远来, 纪珠宝, 李记马. 霍泉灌区出流量预测模型[J]. 水科学进展, 1999, 10(4): 382-387.
ZHENG Shi-zong, YUAN Hong-yuan, LI Yuan-hua, GUO Zong-lou, CUI Yuan-lai, JI Zhu-bao, LI Ji-ma. A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District[J]. Advances in Water Science, 1999, 10(4): 382-387.
Citation: ZHENG Shi-zong, YUAN Hong-yuan, LI Yuan-hua, GUO Zong-lou, CUI Yuan-lai, JI Zhu-bao, LI Ji-ma. A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District[J]. Advances in Water Science, 1999, 10(4): 382-387.

霍泉灌区出流量预测模型

A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District

  • 摘要: 根据灌溉用水决策支持系统(DSS)和实时配水的要求,建立了霍泉泉源年出流量随机预测模型和月出流量实时预测模型.经分析表明,随机AR(p)预测模型较适合预测泉源的年出流量,月出流量实时预测模型的预测精度也较高

     

    Abstract: According to the demand of decision support system and real-time water allocation for Huoquan Irrigation District,this paper presents a stochastic prediction model for yearly discharge and a real-time prediction model for monthly.The case study indicates that the AR(p) model is appropriate for yearly discharge and the precision of monthly model is also satisfied.

     

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