霍泉灌区出流量预测模型

A Prediction Model for the Discharge from Huoquan in the Irrigation District

摘要: 根据灌溉用水决策支持系统(DSS)和实时配水的要求,建立了霍泉泉源年出流量随机预测模型和月出流量实时预测模型.经分析表明,随机AR(p)预测模型较适合预测泉源的年出流量,月出流量实时预测模型的预测精度也较高

Abstract: According to the demand of decision support system and real-time water allocation for Huoquan Irrigation District,this paper presents a stochastic prediction model for yearly discharge and a real-time prediction model for monthly.The case study indicates that the AR(p) model is appropriate for yearly discharge and the precision of monthly model is also satisfied.