应用随机方法研究全球气候变暖对东江流域水资源的影响
Impacts of Global Warming on the Water Resources in the Dongjing Ri ver Basin by Stochastic Method
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摘要: 介绍了全球气候变暖对流域水资源影响研究中流域随机模型的应用.根据IPCC最新公布的2010～2039年和2040～2069年气候变化情景的GCMs模拟结果,计算并讨论了广东东江流域未来相应期内不同保证率径流量可能发生的变化.Abstract: This paper describes the stochastic basin model in the study of impacts global climate change on the water resources.With recent GCM experiments results for 2010-2039 and 2040-2069 presented by IPCC,the possible change of runoff volume for different freguency in Dongjiang River basin has been calculated and discussed.
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