一种新的时间序列综合分析法和应用

详细信息

A New Time Serial Synthetical Analysis Method

摘要: 在传统时间序列分解计算方法的基础上,采用一种新的灰色预测方法模式对趋势项进行预测,建立以传统分析方法和灰色系统理论相结合的长期预测数学模型,对1985年蚌埠站、峰山站、明光站等月流量进行预测,结果令人满意。
- 时间序列 /
- 综合分析 /
- 趋势 /
- 周期 /
- 随机 /
- 灰色理论
Abstract: Based on the traditional method of time serial analysis,a new model of GM (1,1) is adopted and a mathematics model is built by combining the analysis method with the grays theory.When applied the model to the monthly discharge for ecasting of Bengful,Fengshan and other stations in 1985,the results are satisfactory.
- time series /
- synthetical analysis /
- tendency /
- period /
- randomicity /
- gray theory

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