非点源污染预测模型研究进展

Advances in non-point source pollution prediction model

  • 摘要: 污染物在径流形成过程中的迁移和转化是很复杂的,为了有效地防止和控制降雨径流污染,必须对这个复杂过程进行分析、模拟和预测.详细介绍了近年来国外和国内非点源污染模型的研究进展.可以看出,GIS与非点源污染模型的结合及在模型中引入模糊理论、不确定性分析、风险管理是今后的发展趋势,而我国在非点源污染方面的研究还比较落后,有待进一步的发展.

     

    Abstract: Transfer and transform of pollutants is very complicated.In order to prevent and control runoff pollution,the complicated processes need to be analyzed,simulated and predicted.The development of recent overseas and inland non-point pollution models is introduced in this paper.It can be seen that integrating GIS,fuzzy set theory,uncertainty analysis and risk management into non-point source pollution model will be future development direction.However,it is stil behindhand with this field in China,and remains to be developed.

     

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