水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

邱瑞田; 王本德; 周惠成

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水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

邱瑞田, 王本德, 周惠成

文章导航 > 水科学进展 > 2004 > 15(1): 68-72

邱瑞田, 王本德, 周惠成. 水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨[J]. 水科学进展, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

引用本文:

邱瑞田, 王本德, 周惠成. 水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨[J]. 水科学进展, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

QIU Rui-tian, WANG Ben-de, ZHOU Hui-cheng. New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

Citation:

QIU Rui-tian, WANG Ben-de, ZHOU Hui-cheng. New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

1.
国家防汛抗旱总指挥部办公室, 北京, 100053;
2.
大连理工大学土木水利学院, 辽宁, 大连, 116024

基金项目: 水利部、国家防汛抗旱总指挥部重大科技资助项目(水规划[2002]341号)

详细信息

作者简介:
邱瑞田(1955- ),男,北京人,教授级高级工程师,主要从事防汛抗旱工作和研究.E-mail:RJQZU＠mwr.Gov.cn

中图分类号: TV122.3;P338.1

New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season

1.
Headquarter of National Flood Control and Drought Alleviation, Beijing 100053, China;
2.
School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China

Funds: The key project of science and Technology, Ministry of Water Resources (No.[2002 ]341).

摘要: 传统的水库汛限水位的控制,只利用了洪水的统计信息,使水库在汛期要时刻预防设计与校核洪水事件的发生,致使一些水库在汛期不敢蓄水而汛后又无水可蓄,造成洪水资源的浪费。提出水库汛限水位动态控制的新理念及其综合推理模式,适应当前预报技术的发展水平,考虑降雨径流洪水预报与一定时间内的短期降雨预报,排除不可能发生的洪水事件,预报可能发生的洪水,实施水库汛限水位的动态控制。但预报不可避免地存在误差,当小概率预报误差事件发生时,仍可采取弥补措施以确保大坝的防洪安全。
- 水库 /
- 汛限水位 /
- 动态控制 /
- 降雨径流预报 /
- 洪水预报 /
- 短期降雨预报
Abstract: Only statistical flood information is employed in the traditional control of the limited elevation of a reservoir in the flood season.In this case,the reservoir is controlled at a relatively low elevation in order to prevent from its design flood every moment during the whole flood season.In this way,many reservoirs,especially in northern part of China,have to spill lot of surplus water when floods occur,while there is little inflow to those reservoirs after the flood season when they are allowed to store water to a relatively high elevation.In order to use more flood resources,a new idea and its syntheric inference models are proposed in this paper to control the limited elevation of a reservoir dynamically during the flood season according to rainfall-runoff and shortterm (24-h) rainfall forecast in the reservoir basin.At the present developmental level of rainfall-runoff and short-term rainfall forecast,it is possible to predict what floods will occur in the next few days.Furthermore,the limited elevation of the reservoir is dynamically controlled by means of a set of synthetic inference model.At the same time,when the design flood happens,we must have compensation measures to ensure the reservoir's safety in case of forecast errors.
- reservoir /
- limited elevation of reservoirs in flood season /
- dynamic control /
- rainfall-runoff forecast /
- flood fore-cast /
- shortterm rainfall forecast

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水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

1. 国家防汛抗旱总指挥部办公室, 北京, 100053;

2. 大连理工大学土木水利学院, 辽宁, 大连, 116024

基金项目: 水利部、国家防汛抗旱总指挥部重大科技资助项目(水规划[2002]341号)

作者简介:
邱瑞田(1955- ),男,北京人,教授级高级工程师,主要从事防汛抗旱工作和研究.E-mail:RJQZU＠mwr.Gov.cn

收稿日期: 2002-10-18
修回日期: 2002-12-18
刊出日期: 2004-01-25

中图分类号: TV122.3;P338.1

关键词:

水库 /

摘要: 传统的水库汛限水位的控制,只利用了洪水的统计信息,使水库在汛期要时刻预防设计与校核洪水事件的发生,致使一些水库在汛期不敢蓄水而汛后又无水可蓄,造成洪水资源的浪费。提出水库汛限水位动态控制的新理念及其综合推理模式,适应当前预报技术的发展水平,考虑降雨径流洪水预报与一定时间内的短期降雨预报,排除不可能发生的洪水事件,预报可能发生的洪水,实施水库汛限水位的动态控制。但预报不可避免地存在误差,当小概率预报误差事件发生时,仍可采取弥补措施以确保大坝的防洪安全。

English Abstract

New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season

1. Headquarter of National Flood Control and Drought Alleviation, Beijing 100053, China;

2. School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China

Funds: The key project of science and Technology, Ministry of Water Resources (No.[2002 ]341).

Received Date: 2002-10-18
Rev Recd Date: 2002-12-18
Publish Date: 2004-01-25

Keywords:

reservoir /
limited elevation of reservoirs in flood season /
dynamic control /
rainfall-runoff forecast /
flood fore-cast /
shortterm rainfall forecast

Abstract: Only statistical flood information is employed in the traditional control of the limited elevation of a reservoir in the flood season.In this case,the reservoir is controlled at a relatively low elevation in order to prevent from its design flood every moment during the whole flood season.In this way,many reservoirs,especially in northern part of China,have to spill lot of surplus water when floods occur,while there is little inflow to those reservoirs after the flood season when they are allowed to store water to a relatively high elevation.In order to use more flood resources,a new idea and its syntheric inference models are proposed in this paper to control the limited elevation of a reservoir dynamically during the flood season according to rainfall-runoff and shortterm (24-h) rainfall forecast in the reservoir basin.At the present developmental level of rainfall-runoff and short-term rainfall forecast,it is possible to predict what floods will occur in the next few days.Furthermore,the limited elevation of the reservoir is dynamically controlled by means of a set of synthetic inference model.At the same time,when the design flood happens,we must have compensation measures to ensure the reservoir's safety in case of forecast errors.

邱瑞田, 王本德, 周惠成. 水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨[J]. 水科学进展, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

引用本文:

邱瑞田, 王本德, 周惠成. 水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨[J]. 水科学进展, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

QIU Rui-tian, WANG Ben-de, ZHOU Hui-cheng. New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.

Citation:

QIU Rui-tian, WANG Ben-de, ZHOU Hui-cheng. New idea for controlling, the limited elevation of reservoirs in the flood season[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2004, 15(1): 68-72.