水库洪水调度系统的模糊循环迭代模型及应用

Fuzzy iteration model for reservoir flood operation

  • 摘要: 多目标水库洪水调度目标的权重确定一直是实际防洪调度中的难点,针对过去单一考虑主观权重或客观权重的多目标决策模式的缺陷,通过引入权重折衷系数的概念,提出了兼顾主观决策与客观决策统一的模糊循环迭代模型,可以同时得到方案优属度和目标权重。由于模型同时考虑了决策者意图和方案本身属性,使方案排序结果更为合理适用,将其应用于水库洪水调度方案的评价中,实例表明,该模型科学、实用。

     

    Abstract: Due to the limitation that the objective weight or subjective weight is considered separately in the multi-objective deci sio n-making,the concept of a tradeoff coefficient is imported,and a fuzzy iteration methodology paying attention to subjective and objective decision-making,which,at the same time,gives a objective weight and the relative membership degree of alternative,is presented in this paper.Since this rmdel takes into account,in the meantime,the objective intent of decision-maker and the natural property of alternative,the ranking of alternative is more feasible and reasonable then former method.Rnally,a case is applied in the appraisal of reserwir flood control to show that the model is scientific and practical.

     

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