基于淹水面积构建的鄱阳湖水文干旱定量表征及变化特征

Quantification and variation of hydrological drought in the Poyang Lake based on the constructed inundation area dataset

  • 摘要: 研究探讨洪泛湖泊淹水动态的时空异质性特征及其影响下的水文干旱定量表征,对提高洪泛湖泊生态系统管理实践和洪旱灾害防御能力具有重要意义。采用多源遥感数据和图像融合技术构建了鄱阳湖区2000—2023年间连续的高时空分辨率淹水面积数据,揭示了鄱阳湖淹水动态的时空异质性特征;借助标准化降水指数(SPI)原理提出了基于淹水面积的标准化水文干旱指数,并据此分析了鄱阳湖水文干旱的变化特征。结果表明:①鄱阳湖淹水动态时空异质性特征明显,主湖区和碟形湖区淹水面积的年内波动存在差异,在年际变化上呈现出相反趋势;②在定量反映鄱阳湖整体水文干旱时,基于站点的标准化水位指数存在较大的不确定性,相对而言,标准化淹水面积指数具有更好的科学性;③鄱阳湖水文干旱在时空分布上具有一定的复杂性,极端干旱主要发生在年内的4—10月,且更容易发生在主湖区。遥感大数据和图像融合技术结合可实现对大型洪泛湖泊水文干旱的精细定量研究,促进湖泊资源保护利用和洪旱灾害防治等工作的开展。

     

    Abstract: Investigating the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of inundation dynamics in floodplain lakes and its impact on hydrological drought quantification is of great significance for enhancing the management practices of floodplain lake ecosystems and the ability to defend against flood and drought disasters. In this study, multi-source remote sensing data and image fusion technology were employed to construct continuous high-spatiotemporal-resolution inundation data in the Poyang Lake from 2000 to 2023, thereby revealing the spatiotemporal heterogeneity characteristics of the lake inundation dynamics. Subsequently, drawing on the principle of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), a standardized hydrological drought index based on the lake inundation area was proposed, and based on this, the change characteristics of hydrological drought in Poyang Lake were analyzed. The results show that: ① The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of inundation dynamics in the Poyang Lake is prominent. The inundation area in the main lake region and the peripheral dished lake region exhibits not only asynchronous intra-annual fluctuations, but also opposite inter-annual change trend. ② Hydrological drought index calculated from water level observations at specific hydro-stations has substantial uncertainties when quantifying the overall hydrological drought of the Poyang Lake, whereas the calculated hydrological drought index based on lake inundation area is more deterministic and scientific validity. ③ The hydrological drought in Poyang Lake displays complexity in both seasonal distribution and spatial pattern. Extreme droughts mainly occur from April to October within a year, and are more likely to occur in the main lake region. The combination of remote-sensing big data and image fusion technology can achieve a refined quantitative analysis of hydrological drought in large floodplain lakes, and promote the protection and utilization of lake resources as well as the prevention and control of flood and drought disasters.

     

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