三峡水库运行后汉口—九江河段水位变化特征及成因

Characteristics and causes of the water level variations following the operation of the Three Gorges Dam with special reference to the Hankou—Jiujiang reach of the Middle Yangtze River

  • 摘要: 大型水库的修建引起坝下游的水位调整, 进而对河势、航运、防洪及生态等产生显著影响。为探究汉口—九江河段水位变化特征及成因, 采用M-K分析法分析1988—2022年汉口、黄石港和九江站的水位变化趋势, 并使用基于距平残差的水位变幅分析方法和一维水动力模型, 分析河道冲淤、下游水位和阻力变化对不同特征流量下水位变化的影响。研究结果表明: ①三峡成库前, 除九江站枯水位呈显著性下降趋势, 各级流量下的水位均没有显著性变化趋势。②三峡成库后, 九江站的水位变化趋势与建库前相同; 汉口站、黄石港站在12 000 m3/s和20 000 m3/s下的水位呈显著性下降趋势, 12 000 m3/s时降幅分别为0.072、0.045 m/a, 20 000 m3/s时降幅分别为0.048、0.027 m/a; 水位变化的临界转换流量约为30 000 m3/s, 在该流量附近水位未出现明显变化; 当流量大于30 000 m3/s时, 水位呈非显著性上升趋势, 45 000 m3/s下的升幅分别为0.037、0.049 m/a。③临界转换流量以下水位下降的主导作用为河道冲刷, 临界流量附近的水位未出现明显变化源于阻力增大作用接近抵消了河道冲刷的影响, 临界转换流量以上的水位上升源于阻力增大作用更加明显, 个别年份的洪水位上升显著源于下游水位顶托作用明显。

     

    Abstract: The construction of large reservoirs causes water level adjustment downstream of dams, which exerts a significant impact on river regimes, navigation, flood control and ecology. To explore the characteristics of water level variations and their causes in the Hankou—Jiujiang reach of the Middle Yangtze River following the operation of the Three Gorges Dam (TGD), the trend in water level change from 1988 to 2022 was analyzed by the Mann-Kendall analysis method. With the use of the analysis method for the water level amplitude based on the abnormal residual and a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model, in this paper, the contributions of river erosion and silting, downstream control water level and resistance variation to water level change under different discharge levels were estimated. The results showed the following : ① Before the operation of the TGD, the water level at all discharge levels showed nonsignificant changes except for a significant decrease in the low water level (at low discharge levels) at the Jiujiang station. ② After the operation of the TGD, the variation trend in the water level at the Jiujiang station was the same as that before TGD operation. However, the water levels at the Hankou and Huangshigang stations showed significant decreases with decreasing amplitudes of 0.072 and 0.045 m/a and 0.048 and 0.027 m/a, respectively, under discharge levels of 12 000 and 20 000 m3/s, respectively. The critical conversion discharge of water level change was approximately 30 000 m3/s, and there was no obvious water level change near this discharge value. When the discharge was higher than 30 000 m3/s, the water level showed a nonsignificant upward trend, and the increase amplitudes at 45 000 m3/s were 0.037 and 0.049 m/a, respectively. ③ The main reason for the observed water level decrease is river erosion when the discharge is lower than the critical conversion discharge. The main reason why there is no obvious water level change near the critical conversion discharge is that the effect of an increased resistance nearly offsets the influence of river erosion. The main reason for the water level increase is the higher resistance when the discharge exceeds the critical conversion discharge. The obvious increase in the flood water level in individual years is due to the effect of downstream water level jacking.

     

/

返回文章
返回