基于高精度遥感亮温的典型流域河道径流模拟分析

River runoff simulation and analysis for typical basins based on high-resolution brightness temperature observations

  • 摘要: 随着对地卫星遥感技术的发展,微波遥感监测为径流模拟提供了新途径。目前,基于被动微波遥感亮度温度的河道径流模拟方法亟待深入探索。本文基于M/C信号法,利用新一代高精度被动微波亮温数据集在中国典型流域进行河道径流模拟,探讨该方法的适用性,分析断面河宽、平均流量、控制面积、植被覆盖度、高程、土地覆盖/利用类型、气候类型等地形地貌和水文气象因素对模拟效果的影响。结果表明:在中国七大流域61个典型站点中,决定系数R2 ≥ 0.5的站点占比超过59.0%,41.0%的站点纳什效率系数ENS ≥ 0.5;位于西南诸河流域的站点模拟效果最佳,尤其在青藏高原地区;高程、平均流量、气候类型以及断面河宽是影响模拟效果的主要因素;站点位于高原山地气候下的小型河流一般模拟效果更佳,本文方法相对更适用。研究成果可为河道径流模拟提供研究思路,为微波遥感的水文应用提供切实指导。

     

    Abstract: Accurate river runoff simulation is of great importance for basin hydrological simulation, water resources plan and sustainable management, hydrological disaster prevention and control. With the rapid development of the earth observation satellite remote sensing techniques, microwave remote sensing monitoring can provide a new method for river runoff simulation. To date, for river runoff simulation, further exploration is needed based on passive microwave remote sensing brightness temperature observations. This paper applied the M/C signal method to river runoff simulation in typical river basins in China based on a high-resolution passive microwave remote sensing brightness temperature dataset. The usability of this method was discussed. To analyze the influence factors of the simulation results, 7 geomorphologic and hydrometeorological factors were chosen, including river width, mean observed discharge, control area, vegetation percentage, elevation, land use/cover and climate type. Results of the monthly runoff simulation show that among the 61 typical sites in 7 river basins in China, R2 of 59.0% of them exceeded 0.5 and more than 41.0% reached an ENS larger than 0.5. Performance for the sites in basins of the rivers in Southwest China is obviously better, especially for the sites on the Tibetan Plateau; elevation, mean observed discharge, climate type and width of the river cross section are found out to be the dominated factors; and the M/C method is more suitable for sites on small rivers of high elevation under mountain plateau climate. Generally, this paper can inspire research ideas for river runoff simulation, thus providing reliable guidance for extending the hydrological application of microwave remote sensing in China.

     

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