蔡煜东, 姚林声. 径流长期预报的人工神经网络方法[J]. 水科学进展, 1995, 6(1): 61-65.
引用本文: 蔡煜东, 姚林声. 径流长期预报的人工神经网络方法[J]. 水科学进展, 1995, 6(1): 61-65.
Cai Yuding, Yao Linsheng. Long-Range Runoff Forecast by Artificial Neural Network[J]. Advances in Water Science, 1995, 6(1): 61-65.
Citation: Cai Yuding, Yao Linsheng. Long-Range Runoff Forecast by Artificial Neural Network[J]. Advances in Water Science, 1995, 6(1): 61-65.

径流长期预报的人工神经网络方法

Long-Range Runoff Forecast by Artificial Neural Network

  • 摘要: 提出径流长期预报的人工神经网络方法。运用神经网络的一典型模型──“反向传播”模型,以大伙房水库在补水期的径流状况作为研究对象,尝试了神经网络方法的效果。结果表明,该方法预报成功率较高,容错能力较强,可望成为径流长期预报的有效的辅助手段。

     

    Abstract: The Artificial Neural Network (ANN)method for long-range runoff forecast was dresented in this paper. With the application of one of the typical artificial neural network models "back-propagation" model,we selected the runoff status of Da Huofang Reservoir as an object of study to test the performance of the ANN mehtod approach. As a result,the successful rate is higher and the fault-tolerant ability is stronger. Therefore the ANN method might be referred as an effective assistant technique for long-range runoff forecast.

     

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