贺军, 方国华, 郜书明, 谈为雄. 区域防洪治涝生产函数研究[J]. 水科学进展, 2003, 14(5): 638-642.
引用本文: 贺军, 方国华, 郜书明, 谈为雄. 区域防洪治涝生产函数研究[J]. 水科学进展, 2003, 14(5): 638-642.
HE Jun, FANG Guo-hua, GAO Shu-ming, TAN Wei-xiong. Research on the produce function of the district flood control and water drain[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2003, 14(5): 638-642.
Citation: HE Jun, FANG Guo-hua, GAO Shu-ming, TAN Wei-xiong. Research on the produce function of the district flood control and water drain[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2003, 14(5): 638-642.

区域防洪治涝生产函数研究

Research on the produce function of the district flood control and water drain

  • 摘要: 分析了防洪治涝部门投入与产出的特殊性:年效益具有随机性;基建投入具有长效性,同时又具有逐年损耗性。为使基建投入、运行费和效益三者生产函数方程建立在各因素之间的内在因果联系上,提出采用效益累计值或移动平均值以消除逐年效益的随机性干扰;基建投入因素采用与效益同期的损耗值以考虑长效性和损耗性。在此基础上建立了累计效益与累计耗用基建投资、累计运行费的关系和平均年效益与平均年耗用基建投资、平均年运行费的关系。结合江苏省防洪治涝生产函数研究实例,用相关分析得出多项式和幂函数形式的生产函数,得出江苏省防洪治涝在1990年后的投入水平和投入结构下,边际效益很高,并且进一步加大投入水平或增加运行费的相对比例可得到更高的回报率。实例验证了方法的正确性与实用性。

     

    Abstract: This paper analyzes the features of the construction cost,running cost and output in the flood control and water drain section.The yearly benefits are random; the construction is the long-term acting and exhausted year by year.For making the produc function to be based on the actual cause and effect link,this paper advances to accumulate or average yearly bene fits to counteract the randomicity,then to calculate how much construction decrease in the corresponding period considering long-term acting.On this condition,the two kinds of the produce function are established.An example of the flood control and water drain produce function research in Jiangsu province is given.By the regression analysis the polynomial and power funce of the produce function are worked out.It shows that the flood control and water drain pay rate is very high after 1990 in Jiangsu province,and the running cost is more helpful to performance then construction cost.The accuracy and applicability of the method is verified by the example.

     

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