长江中下游区域性和流域性洪水流量演进分析

Discharge propagation analysis of regional and basin floods in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River

  • 摘要: 洪水演进事关防洪安全,影响着沿程河道冲淤、河势演变及江湖补给,从频域对典型洪水组成及其沿程变化开展分析,对揭示洪水演进深层规律及成因,制定科学的防洪减灾策略具有重要意义。基于宜昌至大通水文站的日均流量实测数据,运用信号学时频域分析原理,重点分析了区域性洪水(2016年、2017年)、流域性洪水(1998年、2020年)各站流量的频域变化,量化了各河段主要因素对洪水流量信号强度的影响。结果表明:①支流与湖泊入汇、三口分流、区间集水主要影响洪水信号的长周期主频,降雨等短周期事件主要影响洪水信号的短周期次频。②对于区域性洪水和流域性洪水信号,长周期主频强度沿程增加至176.1%~240.3%,短周期次频强度沿程衰减至45.5%~74.5%。③洞庭湖入汇对洪水信号主频强度影响最强,其次为鄱阳湖、汉江、清江,洞庭湖入汇影响在区域性洪水时更显著。研究成果为解读不同类型洪水流量变化规律及成因提供新角度,深化了对洪水传播规律的认识。

     

    Abstract: Flood propagation is pivotal to flood control security, affecting channel erosion-deposition processes, fluvial regime evolution, and river-lake interactions. Analyzing the composition and downstream variability of typical floods in the frequency domain has significant implications for uncovering the underlying mechanisms of flood propagation and formulating science-based flood mitigation strategies. Utilizing daily discharge data from hydrological stations between Yichang and Datong, this study applied signal processing-based time-frequency analysis to investigate the spectral characteristics of regional floods (2016, 2017) and basin floods (1998, 2020) to quantify the influence of key factors on flood signal intensity across river reaches. Key findings include:① Tributary/lake inflows, three-outlet bifurcation flows, and local catchment contributions predominantly modulated low-frequency (long-period) dominant signals, whereas short-term events, such as rainfall, primarily affected high-frequency (short-period) secondary signals. ② For both flood types, low-frequency signal intensity amplified downstream by 176.1%—240.3%, while high-frequency component attenuated to 45.5%—74.5%. ③ The Dongting Lake inflow exerted the strongest control on the dominant signal intensity, followed by Poyang Lake, Hanjiang River, and Qingjiang River, with its impact more pronounced during regional floods. This study provides novel insights into flood discharge dynamics and advances the mechanistic understanding of flood-wave propagation.

     

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